São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.12
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.4%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
17.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAO
67%
19%
14%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
SCI
3 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2006 |
EST
1 - 0
SAO
25%
25%
50%
|
88 | 77 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
COR
1 - 3
SAO
34%
25%
42%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2006 |
PAL
2 - 1
SAN
74%
17%
9%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 1
CRZ
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAL
35%
26%
39%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2006 |
SAO
2 - 1
PAL
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
PAL
1 - 2
SAN
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |