São Paulo vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
25.8%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
21.9%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 1
UNI
76%
15%
10%
|
89 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 2
PAL
88%
9%
3%
|
90 | 71 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 1978 |
AME
1 - 0
SAO
20%
26%
55%
|
90 | 55 | 35 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
1 - 2
ATM
48%
26%
26%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1978 |
SAO
6 - 1
RIV
78%
14%
8%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 1978 |
AME
0 - 1
PAL
21%
26%
53%
|
90 | 58 | 32 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
4 - 0
CEA
72%
19%
10%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 0
PAL
21%
26%
53%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
3 - 0
FLA
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |