São Paulo vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.9%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Paulo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 1
ATL
61%
22%
17%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2021 |
FOR
3 - 1
SAO
31%
26%
42%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
35%
26%
39%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
JUV
1 - 1
SAO
16%
24%
60%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
2 - 2
FOR
59%
22%
19%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
COR
1 - 1
AMF
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
AMF
2 - 0
ATP
34%
28%
38%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
AMF
2 - 0
CEA
39%
29%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
AMF
0 - 2
BRA
33%
27%
40%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
AMF
31%
30%
39%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |