São José vs Guarulhos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
2.63
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.5%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.1%
13%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São José
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 2
UNI
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
UNI
4 - 3
SAO
21%
21%
58%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 0
AAI
66%
18%
16%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
OSA
2 - 0
SAO
22%
21%
57%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | -2 |
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 2
BFC
77%
14%
9%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Guarulhos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
1 - 4
BAR
75%
15%
10%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
ELO
3 - 2
GUA
44%
22%
33%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2017 |
DIA
2 - 5
GUA
34%
21%
44%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jun. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
AAI
28%
22%
50%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2017 |
OSA
2 - 0
GUA
45%
22%
34%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | -1 |