São João Ver vs Lusitania FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São João Ver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 3
LEX
13%
22%
65%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
PEV
1 - 1
SAO
29%
22%
48%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
FEL
31%
26%
43%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CAN
1 - 5
SAO
42%
27%
32%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
SAO
1 - 1
FAF
33%
29%
39%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lusitania FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LUS
3 - 2
ANA
41%
26%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
1 - 0
LUS
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
ANG
1 - 2
LUS
29%
26%
45%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
LUS
37%
28%
35%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
LUS
2 - 1
MON
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |