Carioca Série B1 Fase Final 1RA Fase. Semi-finals

São Gonçalo RJ vs Serrano FC analysis

São Gonçalo RJ Serrano FC
35 ELO 37
-11.1% Tilt -7.2%
22600º General ELO ranking 29815º
593º Country ELO ranking 933º
ELO win probability
42.3%
São Gonçalo RJ
23.9%
Draw
33.7%
Serrano FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
São Gonçalo RJ
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
33.7%
Win probability
Serrano FC
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
São Gonçalo RJ
+24%
+44%
Serrano FC

ELO progression

São Gonçalo RJ
Serrano FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Gonçalo RJ
São Gonçalo RJ
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2021
PER
Pérolas Negras
0 - 3
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
62%
21%
17%
34 46 12 0
02 Oct. 2021
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
3 - 2
Carapebus EC
CEC
64%
20%
17%
34 19 15 0
25 Sep. 2021
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
2 - 2
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
50%
25%
25%
34 37 3 0
22 Sep. 2021
SAO
São Gonçalo RJ
0 - 2
Rio Sao Paulo
RIO
59%
21%
21%
35 23 12 -1
18 Sep. 2021
CIG
7 de Abril
0 - 1
São Gonçalo RJ
SAO
37%
23%
41%
34 29 5 +1

Matches

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Oct. 2021
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 2
Serrano FC
SFC
37%
24%
39%
36 32 4 0
02 Oct. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
2 - 1
Campo Grande
CGA
13%
18%
69%
34 45 11 +2
25 Sep. 2021
OLA
Olaria
1 - 0
Serrano FC
SFC
38%
25%
37%
34 32 2 0
22 Sep. 2021
SFC
Serrano FC
1 - 0
Goytacaz
GOY
21%
23%
55%
33 42 9 +1
19 Sep. 2021
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 1
Serrano FC
SFC
46%
23%
31%
33 34 1 0
X