São Francisco AC vs Independência analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
60.1%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+127%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2007 |
SFC
2 - 2
ATL
17%
22%
61%
|
8 | 32 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
AND
2 - 0
SFC
79%
13%
8%
|
8 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
SFC
0 - 5
RIO
11%
18%
71%
|
8 | 59 | 51 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
ADE
3 - 0
SFC
83%
10%
7%
|
8 | 43 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2006 |
VAS
3 - 0
SFC
78%
14%
9%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | -1 |
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
IND
3 - 3
RIO
19%
22%
60%
|
34 | 59 | 25 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
ATL
1 - 0
IND
45%
23%
32%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2007 |
IND
1 - 2
VAS
57%
20%
23%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
ADE
3 - 0
IND
71%
17%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2006 |
RIO
0 - 1
IND
73%
17%
11%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +1 |