São Carlos vs Independente SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.4%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
ECN
3 - 0
SAO
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
SAO
0 - 1
GDS
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
UNI
3 - 1
SAO
79%
14%
7%
|
33 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
SAO
1 - 0
MOG
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 27 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
BAT
1 - 2
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Independente SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
IND
0 - 2
MOG
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
IND
1 - 2
ECN
50%
25%
24%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
GDS
0 - 1
IND
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
IND
1 - 1
UNI
15%
19%
66%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
IND
2 - 1
AMP
44%
26%
30%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | 0 |