São Caetano vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-42%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
POR
2 - 3
SAO
17%
23%
61%
|
66 | 47 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
AGU
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
TAU
0 - 0
SAO
24%
25%
51%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2017 |
POR
1 - 1
SAO
12%
21%
67%
|
65 | 44 | 21 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
2 - 2
SAN
79%
15%
6%
|
66 | 33 | 33 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
1 - 2
SAN
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
JUV
1 - 2
NAC
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
5 - 0
POR
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
NAC
0 - 0
POR
61%
22%
17%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2017 |
AGU
0 - 0
NAC
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |