São Caetano vs Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-38%
-34%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
SAO
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
LEM
1 - 0
SAO
13%
18%
69%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 0
VEL
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
SAO
2 - 2
MON
53%
24%
23%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
0 - 1
SAO
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
MON
1 - 1
COM
35%
27%
38%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 2
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
JUV
1 - 2
COM
43%
28%
29%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
COM
0 - 1
TAU
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
COM
2 - 0
LEM
65%
20%
15%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |