São Bernardo FC vs Água Santa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
24.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2024 |
OLA
0 - 1
SAO
15%
24%
62%
|
72 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 1
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 0
SAN
66%
22%
12%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
SAO
0 - 1
PAL
11%
23%
66%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAO
78%
15%
7%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Água Santa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
JAC
68%
20%
12%
|
67 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NOV
1 - 0
AGU
67%
21%
12%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 1
INT
54%
25%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
POR
1 - 1
AGU
28%
27%
45%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
ITU
30%
27%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |