São Bento vs Guaçuano analysis


46	ELO	37
-2.3%	Tilt	5.5%
3049º	General ELO ranking	23212º
90º	Country ELO ranking	596º
ELO win probability

65.4%

São Bento

19.8%

Draw

14.7%

Guaçuano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

65.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.2%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%

19.8%

Draw

0-0

5.1%

1-1

9.4%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

19.8%

14.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

São Bento

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
02 Feb. 2012	SAO 2 - 0 BAR 50% 24% 27%	45	44	1	0
29 Jan. 2012	IND 3 - 1 SAO 41% 24% 35%	46	44	2	-1
27 Mar. 2011	SAO 1 - 3 RBB 30% 24% 46%	47	56	9	-1
24 Mar. 2011	XVD 2 - 1 SAO 66% 20% 15%	47	60	13	0
19 Mar. 2011	SAO 0 - 2 SEP 55% 22% 23%	48	44	4	-1