São Benedito vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
São Benedito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
TIR
19%
22%
59%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
SAO
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
12%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
CRA
3 - 1
SAO
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
21%
23%
55%
|
35 | 51 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
HOR
1 - 0
GUA
53%
23%
25%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 0
ICA
38%
25%
37%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CRA
2 - 2
GUA
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
3 - 0
SAO
69%
18%
12%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
FER
2 - 1
GUA
38%
24%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |