Santos FC vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
11%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
2 - 1
FFL
54%
24%
22%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
4 - 3
SAN
32%
25%
43%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
SLO
59%
24%
17%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SAN
1 - 0
GRE
59%
23%
18%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2006 |
COR
0 - 3
SAN
40%
25%
35%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
BOT
2 - 1
SAO
53%
24%
24%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
SAO
0 - 2
GRE
41%
28%
31%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAO
56%
24%
20%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2006 |
SAO
1 - 2
GOI
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
ATP
3 - 1
SAO
58%
22%
20%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |