Copa Libertadores . Last 16
Global 4-4
Santos FC vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.8%
12.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 1
JUV
73%
17%
11%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
LIG
4 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SAN
1 - 3
CRZ
47%
24%
30%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2004 |
FFL
2 - 1
SAN
30%
25%
45%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
SAN
2 - 0
BOT
77%
14%
8%
|
86 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2004 |
LIG
1 - 2
QUI
62%
22%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2004 |
LIG
4 - 2
SAN
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
LIG
3 - 1
BSC
53%
25%
22%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAC
1 - 6
LIG
25%
28%
47%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2004 |
LIG
0 - 1
CUE
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |