Copa Sudamericana Quarter-finals
Global 2-2
Santos FC vs Libertad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.4%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
27.5%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 0
COR
51%
26%
23%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2021 |
SDJ
2 - 0
SAN
8%
19%
74%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
0 - 1
SAN
21%
27%
53%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
4 - 0
SDJ
83%
13%
5%
|
83 | 54 | 29 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
ATL
58%
24%
19%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Libertad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NAC
1 - 0
LIB
32%
26%
42%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
29D
0 - 5
LIB
15%
19%
67%
|
79 | 60 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
LIB
1 - 1
AME
58%
23%
19%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2021 |
CCP
1 - 1
LIB
38%
26%
37%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2021 |
LIB
0 - 1
JUN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |