Santos FC vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
16.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 1
FER
80%
15%
6%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
ATP
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 1
SCI
67%
20%
13%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 0
CAT
84%
12%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
15%
24%
61%
|
86 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 1
SPO
64%
21%
15%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
COR
0 - 1
FLU
60%
23%
17%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2016 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
50%
26%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2016 |
FLU
1 - 2
CHA
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | -1 |