Copa do Brasil Last 16
Global 1-1
Santos FC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
SAN
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
CRZ
2 - 1
SAN
38%
28%
34%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2023 |
NOB
1 - 0
SAN
34%
29%
37%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 2
AMF
42%
27%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
BAH
2 - 3
FLA
19%
23%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 0
BAH
57%
24%
19%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAH
3 - 1
COT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAH
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
BAH
4 - 0
VOL
67%
19%
15%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |