Santos FC vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
16%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santos FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
SCI
1 - 0
SAN
46%
27%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
3 - 3
SCI
63%
21%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
SAN
4 - 2
PAR
96%
4%
1%
|
84 | 39 | 45 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAN
5%
17%
77%
|
84 | 38 | 46 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2001 |
SAN
2 - 2
VAS
45%
24%
31%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
PAR
1 - 0
BOT
44%
26%
31%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
1 - 3
PAR
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
BOT
3 - 1
FOR
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2002 |
FOR
1 - 2
BOT
36%
27%
38%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
BOT
0 - 0
FCA
91%
7%
2%
|
79 | 14 | 65 | 0 |