Santo André vs São Bernardo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.6%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21%
31.1%
Draw
0-0
13.9%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
31.1%
35.7%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
0 - 1
NOV
47%
29%
25%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
PER
1 - 2
SAN
24%
29%
47%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
BRA
1 - 0
SAN
82%
13%
5%
|
57 | 83 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
INT
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
54%
25%
21%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
São Bernardo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 0
SAO
23%
29%
47%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
POR
46%
30%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
4 - 1
SAO
77%
17%
7%
|
61 | 86 | 25 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
GUA
27%
26%
47%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
INT
2 - 1
SAO
36%
28%
36%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | -1 |