Santo André vs Primavera SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
29.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santo André
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
CAP
1 - 0
SAN
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
0 - 1
GRE
20%
29%
52%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
PAT
0 - 1
SAN
16%
25%
59%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2024 |
SAN
4 - 1
SAO
34%
32%
34%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
PRI
1 - 0
SAO
39%
28%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
COM
61%
23%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
COM
1 - 1
PRI
23%
26%
50%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SAO
1 - 1
PRI
47%
27%
27%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PRI
3 - 1
RBB
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | +1 |