Paulista A2 Round 14

Santo André vs Grêmio Barueri analysis

Santo André Grêmio Barueri
59 ELO 62
-1.4% Tilt 4.7%
3437º General ELO ranking 20960º
94º Country ELO ranking 692º
ELO win probability
37.7%
Santo André
24.6%
Draw
37.6%
Grêmio Barueri

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.8%
Win probability
Santo André
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
37.6%
Win probability
Grêmio Barueri
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Santo André
Grêmio Barueri
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Santo André
Santo André
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2012
SAN
Santo André
1 - 1
Penapolense
PEN
47%
23%
30%
59 60 1 0
04 Mar. 2012
RIO
Rio Preto
1 - 0
Santo André
SAN
24%
24%
52%
60 50 10 -1
29 Feb. 2012
SAO
São Bernardo FC
1 - 1
Santo André
SAN
44%
23%
33%
60 58 2 0
25 Feb. 2012
SAN
Santo André
1 - 3
São Carlos
SAO
65%
20%
15%
61 52 9 -1
22 Feb. 2012
SAN
Santo André
0 - 0
RB Brasil
RBB
46%
24%
31%
61 63 2 0

Matches

Grêmio Barueri
Grêmio Barueri
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
07 Mar. 2012
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 0
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
37%
24%
38%
63 60 3 0
03 Mar. 2012
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
2 - 2
São José
SAO
58%
23%
19%
63 58 5 0
29 Feb. 2012
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
3 - 1
União Barbarense
UNI
63%
21%
17%
63 54 9 0
26 Feb. 2012
PEN
Penapolense
4 - 1
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
30%
23%
48%
64 57 7 -1
23 Feb. 2012
VEL
Velo Clube
1 - 2
Grêmio Barueri
GRÊ
29%
23%
48%
64 57 7 0