Santiago vs Vitória do Pico analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.7%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
6.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
SAN
2 - 1
FAB
14%
21%
65%
|
31 | 59 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FLA
1 - 4
SAN
13%
20%
68%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
IDE
56%
21%
23%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
RAB
1 - 0
SAN
43%
24%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
SAN
3 - 3
ANG
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória do Pico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
0 - 1
PRA
11%
19%
69%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
VIT
3 - 0
MAR
60%
21%
20%
|
15 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
FAB
2 - 2
VIT
85%
11%
4%
|
14 | 61 | 47 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
VIT
1 - 1
FLA
61%
20%
19%
|
14 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
IDE
2 - 0
VIT
77%
14%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |