Santiago vs Micaelense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.5%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.2%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santiago
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
PRA
2 - 1
SAN
75%
16%
10%
|
27 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
SAN
1 - 2
LUS
43%
24%
33%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Micaelense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
LUS
2 - 0
MIC
74%
16%
10%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
MIC
1 - 1
IDE
20%
22%
58%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2002 |
ACA
4 - 1
MIC
83%
11%
5%
|
18 | 62 | 44 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2002 |
POM
3 - 3
MIC
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1965 |
SPB
2 - 1
MIC
91%
7%
3%
|
18 | 59 | 41 | 0 |