Santiago vs Lusitânia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
33.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Lusitânia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1970 |
LUS
0 - 9
VIT
27%
21%
52%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1970 |
VIT
11 - 0
LUS
84%
10%
6%
|
32 | 75 | 43 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1969 |
BEL
4 - 0
LUS
78%
13%
9%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
LUS
0 - 5
BEL
33%
23%
44%
|
33 | 68 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
MAR
3 - 0
LUS
86%
10%
4%
|
33 | 64 | 31 | 0 |