Santarcangelo vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santarcangelo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2015 |
SAV
2 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
SIE
12%
22%
66%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAN
2 - 2
PIS
22%
27%
51%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
PIS
0 - 0
SAN
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 1
SAN
56%
24%
20%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ANC
29%
27%
43%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2015 |
PIS
1 - 0
ASL
41%
26%
33%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
ASL
1 - 2
ACP
44%
28%
28%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
ASL
0 - 0
SIE
13%
23%
64%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
MAC
1 - 1
ASL
40%
26%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |