Santa Tecla vs Chalatenango analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
9.5%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Tecla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 1
SAN
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
PAS
71%
18%
11%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 0
SFC
59%
23%
18%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FIR
1 - 1
SAN
31%
26%
43%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 2
ALI
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Chalatenango
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 2
FAS
44%
26%
30%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
PAS
2 - 1
CHA
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CHA
2 - 3
FIR
37%
25%
38%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ALI
2 - 0
CHA
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2017 |
CHA
1 - 1
UES
62%
21%
17%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | 0 |