Santa Marta vs Valencia de Alcantara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.3%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.9%
7.2%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Marta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
OBA
1 - 4
SMA
21%
21%
58%
|
13 | 8 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
SMA
4 - 0
COD
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
LAA
2 - 0
SMA
61%
20%
19%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
SMA
1 - 0
BAD
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
PVA
2 - 3
SMA
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia de Alcantara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 4
LOB
25%
22%
53%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2015 |
VAL
0 - 6
SFO
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ACP
1 - 2
VAL
83%
11%
6%
|
5 | 15 | 10 | +2 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
VAL
2 - 6
OBA
38%
23%
39%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
COD
7 - 1
VAL
54%
21%
25%
|
6 | 7 | 1 | -1 |