Santa Maria del Pilar vs Rivas Futbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
4.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.9%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
41.1%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria del Pilar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
CLA
2 - 2
SMP
62%
20%
18%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 2
PER
27%
21%
52%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
GRB
2 - 0
SMP
53%
21%
27%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SMP
1 - 5
IVA
36%
23%
42%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RVM
2 - 1
SMP
9%
15%
76%
|
15 | 6 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rivas Futbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 1
DOS
46%
22%
33%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
VVB
0 - 5
RIV
51%
22%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 2
TAJ
70%
17%
13%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
CMP
3 - 1
RIV
64%
20%
16%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
RIV
2 - 0
CIU
54%
21%
25%
|
13 | 13 | 0 | +1 |