UD Morón vs Puebla CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
6%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-80%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
UD Morón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
4 - 1
MOR
63%
20%
17%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
1 - 2
MAI
19%
22%
59%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2024 |
MSQ
2 - 1
MOR
36%
25%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
CDD
1 - 0
MOR
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 0
MON
24%
22%
55%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Puebla CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
0 - 1
VEN
19%
22%
60%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
1 - 2
CDD
50%
23%
27%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2024 |
MAI
1 - 0
PUE
68%
20%
13%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
PUE
3 - 0
CDD
52%
23%
25%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
MON
2 - 1
PUE
76%
15%
9%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |