Santa Maria vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
58.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+68%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Maria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
SAN
79%
15%
6%
|
24 | 58 | 34 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
GUA
2 - 1
SAN
67%
18%
15%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
LUZ
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 45 | 21 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 1
SAN
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
BRA
4 - 0
SAN
87%
10%
3%
|
25 | 67 | 42 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CEI
1 - 2
LEG
67%
19%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
CEA
4 - 3
CEI
76%
17%
8%
|
47 | 70 | 23 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2013 |
CEI
0 - 0
CEA
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 70 | 24 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CEI
1 - 1
BDF
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
BRA
0 - 0
CEI
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |