Saint Lucia vs Montserrat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.69
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
13.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
LCA
1 - 0
DOM
16%
20%
65%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
LCA
0 - 2
SLV
9%
18%
73%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
DOM
3 - 0
LCA
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 56 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MSR
1 - 1
LCA
18%
19%
64%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2019 |
SLV
3 - 0
LCA
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Montserrat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2019 |
SLV
1 - 0
MSR
89%
9%
2%
|
27 | 70 | 43 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2019 |
DOM
0 - 0
MSR
76%
15%
9%
|
26 | 56 | 30 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2019 |
MSR
0 - 2
SLV
4%
10%
87%
|
26 | 70 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2019 |
MSR
1 - 1
LCA
18%
19%
64%
|
25 | 43 | 18 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
MSR
2 - 1
DOM
9%
15%
76%
|
23 | 55 | 32 | +2 |