Saint Lucia vs Curaçao analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.9%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
46.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Saint Lucia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2011 |
PRI
3 - 0
LCA
70%
18%
13%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2011 |
LCA
0 - 4
PRI
30%
23%
47%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 2011 |
KNA
1 - 1
LCA
68%
18%
13%
|
35 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
LCA
0 - 7
CAN
9%
17%
74%
|
36 | 81 | 45 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
LCA
2 - 4
KNA
25%
24%
51%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Curaçao
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Nov. 2011 |
CUW
6 - 1
VIR
76%
15%
9%
|
40 | 9 | 31 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2011 |
VIR
0 - 3
CUW
18%
20%
62%
|
39 | 10 | 29 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2011 |
HTI
2 - 2
CUW
81%
14%
6%
|
38 | 71 | 33 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2011 |
CUW
0 - 1
ATG
19%
20%
61%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2011 |
SUR
2 - 2
CUW
69%
19%
13%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | +1 |