Santa Fe vs At. Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.7%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.9%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Fe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2010 |
MIL
2 - 1
SFE
40%
27%
33%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
SFE
2 - 1
MIL
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
CEN
0 - 0
SFE
19%
23%
58%
|
75 | 55 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
BOG
1 - 0
SFE
29%
25%
46%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
SFE
3 - 2
TOL
48%
25%
27%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
At. Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2010 |
NAC
2 - 1
HUI
57%
25%
19%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2010 |
RIO
2 - 1
NAC
19%
26%
56%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2010 |
ENV
1 - 2
NAC
31%
27%
43%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
CHI
3 - 2
NAC
34%
28%
39%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2010 |
NAC
1 - 2
ONC
51%
25%
23%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |