Santa Cruz vs Ypiranga PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 3
SPO
14%
21%
65%
|
46 | 77 | 31 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
POR
3 - 1
SAN
33%
26%
41%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 1
SAN
77%
15%
8%
|
47 | 72 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
SAN
2 - 1
VCR
72%
17%
11%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
CAB
0 - 2
SAN
31%
25%
45%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Ypiranga PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2010 |
YPI
1 - 0
VCR
58%
22%
21%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2010 |
ACA
1 - 3
YPI
37%
24%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2010 |
YPI
2 - 0
SET
66%
19%
16%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
YPI
62%
21%
17%
|
41 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 2010 |
YPI
2 - 2
NAU
11%
18%
71%
|
40 | 72 | 32 | +1 |