Santa Cruz vs Vitória analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 0
SAN
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
AVA
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2005 |
VIL
1 - 0
SAN
36%
26%
38%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Jul. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
CRB
57%
22%
20%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2005 |
CRI
1 - 3
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
VIT
2 - 0
CAX
77%
15%
8%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2005 |
CRB
3 - 2
VIT
25%
27%
48%
|
73 | 59 | 14 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2005 |
VIT
3 - 1
CRI
68%
19%
14%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2005 |
GAM
1 - 1
VIT
28%
26%
46%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2005 |
VIT
1 - 2
GUA
64%
21%
15%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |