Santa Cruz vs Tombense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.8%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
41.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
23.5%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 0
SAN
42%
27%
31%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
39%
29%
33%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
VOL
0 - 0
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2021 |
SAN
2 - 2
JAC
58%
23%
19%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2021 |
FER
1 - 0
SAN
55%
24%
21%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Tombense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
FLO
1 - 1
TOM
18%
28%
55%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 0
BOT
55%
26%
20%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
MAN
2 - 1
TOM
26%
30%
45%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
TOM
3 - 0
FER
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
TOM
2 - 2
ALT
69%
20%
11%
|
62 | 49 | 13 | 0 |