Copa do Nordeste . Semi-finals
Global 2-3
Santa Cruz vs Sport Recife analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
34.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
SAN
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 0
SAL
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
SAN
1 - 2
NAU
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 4
SAN
6%
15%
79%
|
71 | 37 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Sport Recife
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 2
SAN
55%
23%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2017 |
BOT
2 - 1
SPO
55%
24%
21%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 1
SPO
28%
25%
47%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
JEC
2 - 1
SPO
16%
23%
61%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
SPO
3 - 2
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |