Santa Cruz vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
24.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
BRA
1 - 1
SAN
34%
29%
37%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
2 - 2
OES
45%
27%
28%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
FFL
2 - 1
SAN
42%
28%
31%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
SAN
0 - 1
AMF
41%
28%
31%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SCI
2 - 0
SAN
72%
19%
10%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 2
GOI
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2017 |
LUV
1 - 1
PAY
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2017 |
AMF
2 - 1
LUV
54%
26%
20%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 0
FFL
47%
27%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
LUV
0 - 1
CEA
40%
27%
33%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |