Santa Cruz vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
42.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SAN
4 - 1
VIT
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2016 |
VIT
0 - 2
SAN
17%
23%
60%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 0
SAN
47%
26%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 0
SPO
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 May. 2016 |
CRZ
2 - 2
FFL
69%
20%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COT
1 - 0
CRZ
28%
27%
44%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2016 |
LON
0 - 2
CRZ
13%
23%
64%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2016 |
CRZ
3 - 2
CAM
78%
16%
6%
|
84 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
CRZ
0 - 0
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |