Santa Catalina Atlético vs Peña Deportiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.6%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
66.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
14%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.7%
0-2
13.5%
1-3
6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
12%
0-4
4.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Santa Catalina Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
STA
1 - 2
FER
52%
23%
25%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
MLL
2 - 1
STA
79%
14%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
STA
1 - 3
ALC
36%
26%
39%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SNF
0 - 0
STA
30%
24%
47%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
STA
1 - 2
CON
53%
23%
24%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Peña Deportiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
LLO
1 - 4
PXD
12%
20%
68%
|
42 | 18 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2018 |
BAD
1 - 0
PXD
50%
26%
25%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
MNC
0 - 3
PXD
10%
20%
70%
|
43 | 17 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2018 |
PXD
0 - 0
BAD
37%
28%
35%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
CFP
0 - 1
PXD
19%
25%
56%
|
42 | 28 | 14 | +1 |