Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tokushima Vortis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
15.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
JUB
2 - 2
SAN
37%
27%
36%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
NAG
1 - 1
SAN
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 0
AVI
51%
27%
22%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
2 - 0
FCY
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
SHO
0 - 1
SAN
25%
28%
47%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Tokushima Vortis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2022 |
TOK
5 - 0
GRU
59%
25%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2022 |
MIT
1 - 1
TOK
30%
28%
41%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2022 |
TOK
4 - 1
SHI
30%
26%
44%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
OIT
1 - 0
TOK
48%
27%
25%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
TOK
0 - 0
VVA
34%
27%
39%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |