Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Tochigi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.2%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
12.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.7%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
16.3%
6.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2023 |
SAN
1 - 1
KAA
44%
26%
30%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ALB
2 - 0
SAN
26%
26%
48%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
SAN
0 - 1
FCY
38%
24%
38%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
NAG
2 - 1
SAN
44%
26%
31%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
KAW
1 - 0
SAN
48%
25%
28%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Tochigi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2023 |
TOC
2 - 2
VEG
26%
27%
47%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2023 |
IWA
1 - 0
TOC
52%
27%
21%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ZWE
0 - 1
TOC
47%
28%
26%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Jun. 2023 |
TOC
0 - 0
REN
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2023 |
TOC
1 - 1
MAC
22%
28%
51%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |