Luparense vs Trento analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.2%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
29.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Luparense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
UAR
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
SGS
0 - 0
SAN
40%
22%
38%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 3
MES
31%
26%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 5
SAN
43%
25%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +2 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
BEL
2 - 2
SAN
42%
25%
33%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Trento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2021 |
CAM
0 - 1
TRE
58%
21%
21%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2021 |
TRE
0 - 0
SDA
37%
25%
39%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
VIR
2 - 2
TRE
54%
21%
25%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2021 |
CAL
2 - 2
TRE
53%
22%
26%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
TRE
3 - 2
SGS
46%
22%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |