SN Notaresco 2018 vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.6%
16.6%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SN Notaresco 2018
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
ASD
2 - 0
SAN
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2021 |
SAN
0 - 1
PIN
60%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MAT
1 - 1
SAN
39%
26%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
SAN
3 - 0
CAS
59%
22%
20%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 2
SAN
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
GIU
2 - 1
MON
28%
24%
49%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MON
0 - 0
SFF
48%
24%
29%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2021 |
SEL
1 - 2
MON
13%
18%
69%
|
33 | 16 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MON
2 - 1
UST
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
REC
2 - 0
MON
46%
22%
32%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |