San Martín Tucumán vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.8%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Tucumán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
COL
2 - 2
SMA
63%
19%
18%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
SMA
1 - 2
SMA
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
QUI
2 - 2
SMA
47%
26%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
SMA
3 - 0
SLO
45%
28%
27%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
ATL
2 - 1
SMA
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 3
ATL
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1978 |
ALV
0 - 2
RIV
14%
25%
61%
|
84 | 55 | 29 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1978 |
SLO
1 - 4
RIV
44%
27%
29%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1978 |
COL
2 - 2
RIV
51%
24%
25%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1978 |
RIV
3 - 1
SMA
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |