San Martín Burzaco vs El Porvenir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Martín Burzaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
ESP
0 - 0
SMA
43%
26%
31%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
SMA
0 - 0
LUJ
40%
26%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
MID
0 - 1
SMA
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Jul. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 0
SMA
65%
20%
15%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
SMA
1 - 3
VIC
53%
23%
24%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
El Porvenir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
POR
1 - 1
ITA
31%
26%
43%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
ESP
1 - 0
POR
51%
25%
24%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
LUJ
2 - 0
POR
58%
24%
18%
|
27 | 35 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
POR
0 - 1
MID
41%
25%
34%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2021 |
CAA
0 - 3
POR
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | +2 |