San Marino U21 vs Northern Ireland U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
47.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marino U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 11
DEU
11%
17%
72%
|
22 | 77 | 55 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 6
ISL
24%
23%
54%
|
22 | 52 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
8 - 0
SMR
69%
19%
13%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
DEU
6 - 0
SMR
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 77 | 54 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2009 |
SMR
0 - 8
CZE
15%
21%
64%
|
23 | 70 | 47 | 0 |
Matches
Northern Ireland U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 2
CZE
19%
22%
58%
|
47 | 71 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2009 |
NIR
1 - 1
DEU
12%
18%
71%
|
47 | 77 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2009 |
ISL
2 - 1
NIR
53%
24%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2009 |
NIR
2 - 6
ISL
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
CZE
2 - 0
NIR
78%
14%
8%
|
49 | 70 | 21 | 0 |