San Marcial vs Arnedo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
36.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Marcial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ALB
1 - 2
SMC
22%
28%
51%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
SMC
0 - 1
ADL
10%
17%
73%
|
16 | 49 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
LOG
3 - 1
SMC
86%
11%
3%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
SMC
1 - 3
CLH
15%
25%
60%
|
17 | 39 | 22 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 4
SMC
33%
26%
41%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2006 |
ARN
0 - 2
ADL
10%
18%
73%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2006 |
LOG
2 - 1
ARN
84%
12%
5%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
ARN
0 - 0
CLH
14%
25%
61%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARN
19%
22%
59%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ARN
1 - 1
HAR
15%
25%
61%
|
16 | 37 | 21 | +1 |