San Luis vs Irapuato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
19.1%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
San Luis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
ATS
4 - 1
SNL
58%
22%
20%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
SNL
1 - 5
AME
32%
27%
41%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2003 |
MON
3 - 2
SNL
59%
22%
19%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2003 |
SNL
1 - 3
EST
64%
21%
15%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2003 |
VER
3 - 1
SNL
44%
26%
31%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Irapuato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 3
CHI
31%
27%
42%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ATS
6 - 1
IRA
64%
21%
15%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 1
TOL
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
AME
1 - 0
IRA
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2003 |
IRA
2 - 0
TIG
21%
25%
54%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | +1 |